Fair Isaac Stock Performance
| FICO Stock | USD 1,463 38.58 2.57% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0672, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Fair Isaac are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Fair Isaac is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Fair Isaac has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to confirm Fair Isaac's skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Fair Isaac performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Fair Isaac has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain healthy and the recent disarray on Wall Street may also be a sign of long period gains for the firm investors. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 150.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -43.7 M |
Fair Isaac Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 165,051 in Fair Isaac on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (18,734) from holding Fair Isaac or give up 11.35% of portfolio value over 90 days. Fair Isaac is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.9793% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Fair, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Fair Isaac Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Fair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1,463 | 90 days | 1,463 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fair Isaac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Fair Isaac probability density function shows the probability of Fair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Fair Isaac has a beta of -0.0672. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fair Isaac are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fair Isaac is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fair Isaac has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Fair Isaac Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fair Isaac
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fair Isaac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fair Isaac's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fair Isaac Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fair Isaac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fair Isaac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fair Isaac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fair Isaac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 102.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Fair Isaac Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fair Isaac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fair Isaac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fair Isaac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Fair Isaac Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fair Isaac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fair Isaac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 134.1 M |
Fair Isaac Fundamentals Growth
Fair Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Fair Isaac, and Fair Isaac fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Fair Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.36 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.35 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.32 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.46 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 37.76 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 23.72 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 65.60 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 82.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 16.83 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.99 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 951.19 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 155.06 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 6.14 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.07 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.92 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (76.09) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 778.81 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 27.07 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.87 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 4.55 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 433.46 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 95.5 M | ||||
About Fair Isaac Performance
By examining Fair Isaac's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Fair Isaac's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Fair Isaac is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Fair Isaac Corporation develops analytic, software, and data management products and services that enable businesses to automate, enhance, and connect decisions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Fair Isaac Corporation was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Bozeman, Montana. Fair Isaac operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3367 people.Things to note about Fair Isaac performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fair Isaac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Fair Isaac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fair Isaac generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Fair Isaac's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Fair Isaac's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Fair Isaac's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Fair Isaac's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Fair Isaac's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Fair Isaac's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Fair Isaac's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fair Isaac. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. To learn how to invest in Fair Stock, please use our How to Invest in Fair Isaac guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Fair diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fair Isaac. Market participants price Fair higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fair Isaac data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Fair Isaac requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Fair's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Fair Isaac's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Fair Isaac's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fair Isaac's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fair Isaac is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fair Isaac's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.